Will there be frost in February. Weather forecast for February: the weather will take an unexpected turn

"Pink" February will come in European part Russia. This was reported to the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) under the auspices of the European Union. In the last month of winter, the temperature is expected to exceed the norm by 1.5–4 degrees.

Average daily temperatures in Moscow exceed all norms. We can all observe an unprecedented warm winter. For example, on January 21, over 140 years of observations, the average daily temperature at the VDNH reference station should be minus 9.5 degrees. In fact, it amounted to 3.6 degrees Celsius, that is, more than 13 degrees higher than expected, the expert noted. - In 1898, on the same day, the temperature was 3.8 degrees. We did not reach the record set at the end of the 19th century for heat by 0.2 degrees, but the excess of the usual climate temperature on the face.

The coldest night this week, according to the meteorologist, will be from January 23 to 24. In the north of the Moscow region, the temperature at night and in the morning can drop to minus 10 degrees, and in the capital - minus 3-6 degrees. Varakin said that by the end of the week a wave of air from the Atlantic would come to Moscow and a slight short-term cooling at night would be associated with this.

On Tatyana's day, on Saturday, January 25, it will get warmer again. Next week - stable positive air temperatures from 0 to plus three degrees. The whole of January in Moscow and the Moscow region will not only be abnormally warm - the average monthly air temperature in January will be higher than in December! At the same time, - the specialist emphasized, - in the entire history of observations, December 2019 in Moscow is the warmest. The excess of the average monthly temperature at the end of the year amounted to almost 8 degrees. In January 2020, we expect the monthly temperature to rise by 10 degrees.

The head of the situational center of Roshydromet noted that there is practically no snow cover and will not be. He said that usually at the beginning of the year the thickness of the lying snow is about 29 centimeters, but now it is zero, there is no snow. Varakin promised that if snow falls in the near future, its layer will be no more than a centimeter, it will quickly melt.

Snow can be found in the forest in the north of the Moscow region, in ravines and in shaded areas of the soil, Varakin continued. - Freezing of the soil up to a meter, which usually happens in our latitudes in the third decade of January, is also not observed due to standing heat. There is a “real winter” in Russia, but it is beyond the Urals. For example, in Novosibirsk. There is snow, but the weather is also much warmer than usual.

Varakin also explained what the terms "pink" and "red" winter mean:

As for the "double red" coloring of the map, these words come from a long tradition of designating warm temperature anomalies in pink, red, and bright red. Colds, on the contrary, are indicated by blue, blue and bright blue colors. The map of Russia, which reflects the expected weather until the end of January, is all pink or red, with the exception of the blue "islands" in the region of Chukotka, Yakutia, Magadan. It's always cold there. So, in Verkhoyansk, Yakutsk region, in January it was always about minus forty-five. Winter there, unlike the Moscow region, has survived.

Autumn is still on the calendar, although late, but outside the window is a real winter. With snowfalls, blizzards and lowering of night and morning temperatures to minus 10 degrees. What to expect from winter next, will it be the most severe for last years, or, having survived the November cold, nature will return to normal temperatures.

What winter will be in Russia

Only preliminary forecasts are possible here, which, alas, do not always come true, since there is no proven method for determining the weather for several months in advance. According to meteorologists, despite the November cold, winter in Russia will not differ much from previous years.

December on average in Russia will be quite cold. Average daily temperatures will fluctuate around 10-15 degrees below zero. However, the main cold will come in the second half of the month, and by the New Year it may get warmer again.

January 2017 will be the coldest month of winter. By mid-January, it is worth waiting for real Epiphany frosts, followed by heavy snowfalls. The second half of the month will also be very cold, down to minus 30 degrees, but in the last days of January the frost will subside, giving way to blizzards and snowfalls.

February 2017 promises to be an exemplary winter month. In early February, a slight frost is expected, down to minus 5 degrees, and snowfalls will continue, which will alternate with sunny days. However, by mid-February, frosts will intensify again, and temperatures are expected to drop to minus 17-20 degrees. This weather will last until the end of the month, and in March it will start to warm up.

Winter weather in Moscow

The weather in Moscow, in principle, almost completely corresponds to the all-Russian forecast, except that it will be 2-3 degrees warmer. In general, winter is expected to be moderately cold in the capital. In the first half of December, a light frost with moderate snowfalls is expected, and such weather will last until the end of the month. IN new year holidays in Moscow, light snowfalls are predicted at a temperature of minus 8-12 degrees.

The second decade of January will be more frosty, and frosts will last until the end of the month, when the air temperature drops to 25-30 degrees below zero. February will bring precipitation and warming to minus 7 degrees, but by the middle of the month it will again get colder to minus 25. Such weather will last until early March.

Winter weather in St. Petersburg

After an abnormally cold and rainy summer, winter in St. Petersburg is expected to be slightly colder than in previous years. As early as November 15, the snowfalls will stop, the temperature will return to positive values ​​and heavy rains will begin, which will melt most of the early snowfall.

Above-zero temperatures with precipitation will continue until mid-December, New Year moderate frost is expected, and real cold will come to the northern capital at Epiphany, that is, by January 19th. February promises to be snowy, with snowstorms and temperatures below minus 10 degrees.

Folk omens for autumn and winter

• A bird sits on the roof - to bad weather.
• The crow bathes - to bad weather.
• The crow hides its beak under the wing - to the cold.
• Poultry hides its head under its wing - to the cold.
• Late leaf fall - to a harsh and long winter.
• Mosquitoes have appeared late autumn- to the harsh winter.
• Sparrows scream - to the blizzard.
• The sky above the forest will turn blue - to the heat.
• Evening dawns quickly burn out - to the thaw.
• The trees were covered with frost - to a blizzard.

The word "anomaly" scientists usually do not like to pronounce, but not this year.

Roman Vilfand, scientific director of the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia: “The anomaly is noticeable, bright. It is visible even on the maps. The entire territory of the country is painted with a thick bright crimson color.

In Krasnoyarsk in January brown bears come out of hibernation. Mimosa in Sochi in 2017 bloomed in March. In 2018 already in February, in 2020 in early January. And in the Moscow region went mushrooms. If the weather writes such charts of record numbers, the question arises: what will happen in summer and autumn? What will happen to the fields, to the harvest?

Yuri Kosovan, adviser to the Minister of Agriculture of the Russian Federation: “We do not see any concerns in this situation. The only negative is if the temperatures go sharply negative and hold for two weeks.”

In other words, this year it so happened that agriculture nothing threatens, except for the onset of the usual winter. In general, there are not many advantages from climate change in practice. For example, in the Krasnoyarsk Territory, a third of the ice routes are closed. hard layer ice less than 20 centimeters, and to open the crossing, you need twice as thick. According to the calendar and geography, winter is Siberian, the weather is actually Krasnodar, the thermometer sometimes turns into a plus. From this came a lot of water, in winter we have to build dams, save villages from floods.

Problems also came where they were not expected at all - in the economy. The weather hit trade.

Mikhail Burmistrov, CEO of an information and consulting agency: "We are seeing a global climate impact on the market, which has led to the fact that winter clothes and shoes are practically not sold."

The market sank by 100 billion rubles. And that's just for clothes and shoes. According to scientists, the average global surface temperature of the Earth in 2019 was the second warmest since records began in 1880. Have there never been such warm winters in the history of mankind? In response to this question, the climatologist answers with verses.

Andrey Kiselyov, Leading Researcher, Main Geophysical Observatory named after V.I. A. I. Voeikova: “You can remember our classic Pushkin:“ In that year autumn weather stood for a long time in the yard, waiting for winter, waiting for nature. Snow fell only in January on the third night.

It is this winter in Russia that is warmer than usual due to the transfer of Atlantic air to us. It happens extremely rarely, even more rarely lasts so long. And a powerful anticyclone, usually responsible for our winter, has not formed this year.

Alexey Sokov, Director of the Institute of Oceanology. P. P. Shirshov of the Russian Academy of Sciences: “We cannot give an unambiguous answer to what is happening outside the window. There is an anomaly, yes. Why it happens, no one knows. Everyone easily explains what happened now, but the most important question is: what will happen?

In Moscow, February 2020 will be colder than the previous two winter months. According to the forecasts of Roman Vilfand, scientific director of the Hydrometeorological Center, the air temperature is expected to drop to -5 .. -10 degrees. Severe frosts are unlikely to occur, the expert says.

Temperature fluctuations are not ruled out during February. The month will be generally cool, there may be ice. Last year in February, the share of sunny days was 37%, cloudy - 63%.

Should Muscovites expect snow in February 2020?

According to long-term forecasts of experts, average temperature air in Moscow and the region in February 2020 will be -6 .. -7 degrees, that is, about the norm. The level of precipitation will reach approximately 50-60 mm. Snow in the capital will still be, presumably, in the first days of the month. Daytime air temperature will be -1.. -6 degrees, closer to the 2nd decade of February - up to -8.. -13 degrees, but at night - up to -25 degrees. The snow will be light, and by the middle of the month it will become wet. In addition, the temperature will reach zero and ice will appear.

At the end of the second decade of February 2020, there will be no precipitation in Moscow, the temperature at night will drop to -14.. -19 degrees, in the daytime - to -5.. -10 degrees. In the third decade of February there will be snow, thanks to which the air will warm up to 0.. -5 degrees during the day and up to -4.. -9 degrees at night. Drivers should be careful - there will be a dangerous situation on the roads. At the end of the month the weather will be cloudy, it will snow again, the temperature will be up to -3.. -8 degrees during the day and up to -8.. -13 degrees at night.

Preliminary forecast for February 2020 in the table

In February 2020, the weather situation will be approximately as follows:

Day 01, Sat: 0.. -2 during the day, -2.. -4 at night;

Day 02, Sun: -2.. +4 in the daytime, 0.. -2 at night, precipitation in the form of sleet is possible;

03, Mon: +2.. +4 in the daytime, +1.. +3 at night, rain is possible during the day;

04th, Tue: +2.. +4 in the daytime, 0.. +2 at night, possible rain during the day;

05 day, SR: 0.. -2 in the daytime, -3.. -5 at night, precipitation in the form of sleet is possible;

Day 06, Thurs: -3.. -5 in the daytime, -3.. -5 at night, precipitation in the form of sleet is possible;

Day 07, Fri: -4.. -6 during the day, -5.. -7 at night, precipitation in the form of sleet is possible;

08th, Sat: -4.. -6 during the day, -6.. -8 at night, clear;

09th, Sun: -4.. -2 during the day, -5.. -3 at night;

10th, Mon: -3.. -1 during the day, -2.. 0 at night;

11th, Tue: -3.. 0 during the day, 0.. +2 at night;

12th, SR: -3..0 during the day, -1..+1 at night;

13th, Thu: -4.. -1 during the day, -4.. -2 at night;

14th, Fri: -4.. -2 during the day, -6.. -4 at night;

15th, Sat: -2..0 during the day, -4.. -1 at night;

16th, Sun: -1.. +1 during the day, -1.. +1 at night;

17th, Mon: -1.. +2 during the day, +1.. +4 at night;

18th, Tue: -1.. +2 during the day, +1.. +4 at night;

19th, WE: -2.. +1 during the day, -1.. +1 at night;

20th, Thu: -2..0 during the day, -4.. -2 at night;

21st, Fri: -2..0 during the day, -4.. -2 at night;

22nd, Sat: -2.. +1 during the day, -2.. +1 at night;

23rd, Sun: -1.. -+2 during the day, +1.. +3 at night;

24th, Mon: -1.. +2 during the day, +2.. +4 at night;

25th, Tue: -1.. +1 during the day, -1.. +2 at night;

26th, SR: -2..0 during the day, -3.. -1 at night;

27th, Thu: +2.. during the day, -9 at night;

28th, Fri: -3 during the day, -4 at night;

29th, Sat: -4 during the day, -8 at night.

In February, a cold snap will come to Russia, the air temperature will be much lower compared to January. It is reported by RIA Novosti with reference to the acting head of the Hydrometeorological Center Roman Vilfand.

“It's unusual, but it's true nonetheless. This does not mean that it will be super cold, I'm talking in comparison with January, ”said the forecaster.

According to Vilfand, snowfalls are still possible in February. In addition, the meteorologist recalled that the climatic spring in the European part of Russia begins at the end of March, and in Siberia and Far East- in the middle of April.

Severe frosts are not expected for the Feast of Epiphany. On Epiphany night, the thermometer will drop to a maximum of -3 ... 5 ° C, the temperature will not be too low during the day.

Meanwhile, they expect February to be the snowiest month of this winter. Forecasters suggest that up to 20 centimeters of snow will fall in the capital by the middle of the month.

Deputy Mayor of Moscow for Housing and Communal Services and Improvement said that in last days January will get colder, and the temperature will drop below zero and will be in the region of -5...-7°C.

Speaking about long-term forecasts, the Russians are also promised an abnormally warm spring - on average, the temperature will be several degrees higher than normal for this season. In addition, the leading specialist of the Phobos weather center said that it was no longer worth waiting for a “real” winter this year.

According to the meteorologist, in January the temperature will exceed the norm by 4-6°C, in February - by 3-4°C. At the same time, daytime temperatures will drop below -5°C "very rarely".

Heavy snowfalls should not be expected either, says Tishkovets. The snowiest month will be February, but the height of the snow cover will be only 20 millimeters.

In March, the climatic norm will be exceeded by 3-4°C, in April - by 1-2°C, in May - by 1°C. In spring, the temperature anomaly will gradually decrease, Tishkovets said. He added that all the snow will melt in April.

Forecasters have already managed to call the winter of 2019-2020 "non-classical", "incredibly anomalous", "slushy in European style", "pink" and "cherry". Such a winter always brings warmth with it - the temperature background is kept above the norm or near it.

“In general, yes, the winter is not expected to be cold. Winter is predicted in such a color - I’m even afraid to pronounce the word - pink, ”explained Vilfand.

The color of winter determines the shade that prevails on the prognostic map of a particular period, the meteorologist specified. Pink color means the temperature exceeds the norm.

Evgeny Tishkovets, the leading specialist of the Phobos weather center, urged his colleagues to “not freak out” over the characteristics of weather conditions, coming up with color designations.

“I'm embarrassed by all these stupid color schemes that are glued to the weather. A man sits and thinks: "What does "cherry" winter mean." After all, you can simply say: “The warmest,” said the meteorologist.

Over the 140 years of the history of meteorological observations in Moscow, only seven "cherry" winters have been recorded. The warmest came in the early sixties. However, forecasters believe that the colors of future winters will increasingly be dominated by the "red" color - the winter will get warmer and warmer.

Earlier, in an interview with Gazeta.Ru, Yevgeny Tishkovets said that frosts would not come to the capital either in February or March - a mixture of “European” and “Crimean” winters would be observed in these months. Compiled by the staff of the Phobos Center

climate maps are colored in brown-burgundy colors, which indicates a significant excess of the norm.

“I don’t see Morozov in the coming months, including in March. Spring must take over warm winter. But by the end of spring and the beginning of summer it will not be hot - according to forecasts, the temperature at this time will be as expected, ”he summed up.

Now in Moscow there is snow, but it does not form a continuous cover. There are puddles on the sidewalks that freeze at night. Green grass is often seen from under the snow, which in mid-January looks unusual for northern latitudes.